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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Alex Morono won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1478

Court McGeevsAlex MoronoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Saturday, April 6, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alex Morono won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCourt McGee: Pressure fightervsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Alex Morono wins(66.5%)

Actual result: Alex Morono wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Morono at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Morono enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Court McGee has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Court McGee

Red Corner

Alex Morono

Blue Corner

+285

(26%)

Vegas Odds

-360

(78%)

1493

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Court McGee

oldest →

vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Jan 22

KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22

KOvs Matt Brown · May 23

SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24

vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25

latest

Alex MoronoL5 streak

oldest →

vs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 23

vs Niko Price · Jun 24

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25

vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Court McGeeMetricAlex Morono

4.50

Strikes / min

4.90

3.65

Strikes absorbed / min

4.88

60%

Strike defense

55%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.32

70%

Takedown defense

47%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Court McGeeAlex Morono

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Court McGee(10 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +15.0|Blue -15.0

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Court McGeeTargetAlex Morono

By target zone

19% acc · 23%

Head

22% acc · 68%

53% acc · 48%

Body

50% acc · 24%

53% acc · 28%

Leg

60% acc · 8%

By position

35% acc · 87%

Distance

27% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

0% acc

73% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Court McGee rounds

even

Alex Morono rounds

Round 1Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control3:12

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Court McGee edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control0:08

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 160

Sig Strikes

38 / 141

38.7%

Sig Str %

27.3%

78 / 184

Total Strikes

42 / 149

1 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

12.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:20

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex Morono	12 / 50	12 / 50	0 / 0	0
1	Court McGee	22 / 52	22 / 52	0 / 0	0
2	Alex Morono	9 / 28	12 / 34	0 / 0	1
2	Court McGee	20 / 41	36 / 61	0 / 2	0
3	Alex Morono	17 / 63	18 / 65	0 / 0	0
3	Court McGee	18 / 67	20 / 71	1 / 4	0

Court McGee

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Alex Morono

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights23