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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Costas Philippou won · Decision R3
Elo1490
Costas Philippou
Elo1490
Riki Fukuda

Costas PhilippouvsRiki FukudaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · Saturday, July 7, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Costas Philippou won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Riki Fukuda wins(65.2%)

Actual result: Costas Philippou wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Riki Fukuda at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Riki Fukuda (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Costas Philippou
Red Corner
VS
Riki Fukuda
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
1490
Elo
1490
32
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Costas Philippou
oldest →
W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Dec 12
L
DECvs Francis Carmont · Sep 13
L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jan 14
W
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · May 14
L
DECvs Gegard Mousasi · May 15
latest
Riki Fukuda
oldest →
L
vs Nick Ring · Feb 11
W
vs Steve Cantwell · Feb 12
W
vs Tom DeBlass · Nov 12
L
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Costas PhilippouMetricRiki Fukuda
—
Strikes / min
4.24
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
—
Strike defense
64%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.17
—
Takedown defense
70%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1543 vs 1499Strikes34.8 vs 76.0Takedowns0.8 vs 4.5Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form0.7 vs 0.4
Costas PhilippouRiki Fukuda

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Costas Philippou(10 fights)Riki Fukuda(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -6.0|Blue +6.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Costas Philippou

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2

Riki Fukuda

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5