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Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Nick Catone won · Decision R3
Elo1490
Costas Philippou
Elo1490
Nick Catone

Costas PhilippouvsNick CatoneUFC Prediction Result

UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · Saturday, March 19, 2011Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Nick Catone won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nick Catone wins(86.8%)

Actual result: Nick Catone wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Catone at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Costas Philippou is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nick Catone has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Nick Catone (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Costas Philippou
Red Corner
VS
Nick Catone
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
1490
Elo
1490
31
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Costas Philippou
oldest →
W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Dec 12
L
DECvs Francis Carmont · Sep 13
L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jan 14
W
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · May 14
L
DECvs Gegard Mousasi · May 15
latest
Nick Catone
oldest →
L
KOvs Chris Camozzi · Jun 12
L
SUBvs TJ Waldburger · Dec 12
W
vs Tom Watson · Feb 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Costas PhilippouMetricNick Catone
—
Strikes / min
2.11
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
—
Strike defense
63%
—
TDs / 15 min
3.71
—
Takedown defense
83%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes— vs 27.5Takedowns— vs 3.0Sub Atts— vs 0.75Form0.0 vs 0.0
Costas PhilippouNick Catone

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Costas Philippou(10 fights)Nick Catone(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Costas Philippou

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2

Nick Catone

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4