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Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Cory Sandhagen won · KO/TKO R4
Elo1484
Cory Sandhagen editorial illustration
Elo1518
Song Yadong

Cory SandhagenvsSong YadongUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Saturday, September 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cory Sandhagen won

KO/TKO · Round 4 · 5:00

Style matchupCory Sandhagen: Well-roundedvsSong Yadong: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Song Yadong wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Song Yadong at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Song Yadong has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Cory Sandhagen
Red Corner
VS
Song Yadong
Blue Corner
-205
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
1484
Elo
1518
34
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cory SandhagenL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Rob Font · Aug 23
L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24
W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25
L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25
L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26
latest
Song Yadong
oldest →
W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23
L
vs Petr Yan · Mar 24
W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26
W
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cory SandhagenMetricSong Yadong
4.86
Strikes / min
4.42
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
56%
Strike defense
55%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
0.78
56%
Takedown defense
73%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+0.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1571 vs 1603Strikes5.0 vs 4.5Takedowns1.2 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.20Form-0.3 vs 0.8
Cory SandhagenSong Yadong

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Song Yadong(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -33.2|Blue +33.2
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cory SandhagenTargetSong Yadong

By target zone

62
33% acc · 66%
Head
36
29% acc · 67%
17
81% acc · 18%
Body
13
87% acc · 24%
15
100% acc · 16%
Leg
5
100% acc · 9%

By position

86
40% acc · 91%
Distance
44
33% acc · 81%
5
83% acc · 5%
Clinch
10
77% acc · 19%
3
100% acc · 3%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Cory Sandhagen rounds
1
even
0
Song Yadong rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:46
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:55Control
Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:48
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:32
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control1:41
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
94 / 222
Sig Strikes
54 / 145
41.8%
Sig Str %
39.8%
130 / 259
Total Strikes
130 / 224
1 / 14
TDs
2 / 2
12.5%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:47
Ctrl Time
1:39

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Song Yadong14 / 2823 / 371 / 10
1Cory Sandhagen19 / 5230 / 630 / 30
2Song Yadong15 / 4436 / 650 / 00
2Cory Sandhagen21 / 5224 / 550 / 40
3Cory Sandhagen29 / 6330 / 640 / 50
3Song Yadong13 / 4826 / 610 / 00
4Song Yadong12 / 2545 / 611 / 10
4Cory Sandhagen25 / 5546 / 771 / 20

Cory Sandhagen

StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights17