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Catch Weight

5 Rounds

Cory Sandhagen won · U-DEC R5

Elo1484

Elo1490

Cory SandhagenvsRob FontUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · Saturday, August 5, 2023Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Cory Sandhagen won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupCory Sandhagen: Well-roundedvsRob Font: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Cory Sandhagen wins(63.7%)

Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cory Sandhagen at -380 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cory Sandhagen has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Cory Sandhagen

Red Corner

Rob Font

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

1484

Elo

1490

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cory SandhagenL2 streak

oldest →

vs Marlon Vera · Mar 23

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25

DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26

latest

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cory SandhagenMetricRob Font

4.86

Strikes / min

5.11

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.53

56%

Strike defense

57%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

0.70

56%

Takedown defense

37%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.58

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cory SandhagenRob Font

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Rob Font(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -5.6|Blue +5.6

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cory SandhagenTargetRob Font

By target zone

38% acc · 88%

Head

12% acc · 56%

67% acc · 6%

Body

67% acc · 22%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

67% acc · 22%

By position

21% acc · 29%

Distance

18% acc · 89%

0% acc

Clinch

0% acc

67% acc · 71%

Ground

50% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cory Sandhagen rounds

even

Rob Font rounds

Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control2:43

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control4:41

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control3:43

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control4:41

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control3:50

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 84

Sig Strikes

9 / 49

41.6%

Sig Str %

12.4%

132 / 211

Total Strikes

25 / 69

7 / 7

TDs

1 / 2

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

19:38

Ctrl Time

1:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rob Font	5 / 22	6 / 24	1 / 1	0
1	Cory Sandhagen	8 / 26	27 / 51	2 / 2	0
2	Rob Font	0 / 7	4 / 12	0 / 0	0
2	Cory Sandhagen	7 / 15	38 / 54	1 / 1	0
3	Rob Font	4 / 10	4 / 11	0 / 0	0
3	Cory Sandhagen	10 / 24	27 / 48	1 / 1	0
4	Cory Sandhagen	6 / 11	29 / 39	2 / 2	0
4	Rob Font	0 / 4	2 / 7	0 / 0	0
5	Rob Font	0 / 6	9 / 15	0 / 1	0
5	Cory Sandhagen	3 / 8	11 / 19	1 / 1	1

Cory Sandhagen

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights17

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21