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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cory Sandhagen won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1484

Elo1491

Cory SandhagenvsIuri AlcantaraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · Saturday, August 25, 2018Lincoln, Nebraska, USA

Official fight result

Cory Sandhagen won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:01

Style matchupCory Sandhagen: Well-roundedvsIuri Alcantara: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Cory Sandhagen wins(58.7%)

Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cory Sandhagen at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Cory Sandhagen

Red Corner

Iuri Alcantara

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1484

Elo

1491

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cory SandhagenL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rob Font · Aug 23

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25

DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26

latest

Iuri Alcantara

oldest →

SUBvs Brad Pickett · Oct 16

SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17

SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17

vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17

KOvs Joe Soto · Feb 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cory SandhagenMetricIuri Alcantara

4.86

Strikes / min

2.72

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

2.79

56%

Strike defense

49%

1.15

TDs / 15 min

1.44

56%

Takedown defense

60%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cory SandhagenIuri Alcantara

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.7|Blue +6.7

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -1.8|Blue +1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cory SandhagenTargetIuri Alcantara

By target zone

58% acc · 98%

Head

38% acc · 100%

Body

100% acc · 2%

Leg

By position

75% acc · 9%

Distance

8% acc · 11%

0% acc

Clinch

33% acc · 11%

58% acc · 91%

Ground

78% acc · 78%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cory Sandhagen rounds

even

Iuri Alcantara rounds

Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control3:24

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:13Control

Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:48

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 113

Sig Strikes

9 / 24

59.5%

Sig Str %

23.5%

104 / 159

Total Strikes

13 / 29

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:12

Ctrl Time

1:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Iuri Alcantara	9 / 19	13 / 24	1 / 1	2
1	Cory Sandhagen	44 / 79	65 / 102	0 / 0	0
2	Iuri Alcantara	0 / 5	0 / 5	0 / 0	0
2	Cory Sandhagen	22 / 34	39 / 57	0 / 0	0

Cory Sandhagen

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights17

Iuri Alcantara

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17