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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cory Sandhagen won · KO/TKO
Elo1484
Cory Sandhagen editorial illustration
Elo1441
Frankie Edgar

Cory SandhagenvsFrankie EdgarUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Saturday, February 6, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cory Sandhagen won

KO/TKO

Style matchupCory Sandhagen: Well-roundedvsFrankie Edgar: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Cory Sandhagen wins(79.0%)

Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cory Sandhagen at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cory Sandhagen is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Frankie Edgar has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Cory Sandhagen
Red Corner
VS
Frankie Edgar
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
1484
Elo
1441
34
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cory SandhagenL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Rob Font · Aug 23
L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24
W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25
L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25
L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26
latest
Frankie EdgarL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 19
L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20
L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21
L
KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cory SandhagenMetricFrankie Edgar
4.86
Strikes / min
3.77
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
2.82
56%
Strike defense
65%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
2.29
56%
Takedown defense
65%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1586 vs 1585Strikes6.9 vs 3.7Takedowns1.1 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.30Form0.5 vs 0.1
Cory SandhagenFrankie Edgar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Frankie Edgar(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +43.8|Blue -43.8
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cory SandhagenTargetFrankie Edgar

By target zone

1
33% acc · 50%
Head
1
50% acc · 50%
0
Body
0
1
50% acc · 50%
Leg
1
100% acc · 50%

By position

2
40% acc · 100%
Distance
2
67% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Cory Sandhagen rounds
0
even
0
Frankie Edgar rounds
Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
2 / 5
Sig Strikes
2 / 3
40%
Sig Str %
66%
2 / 5
Total Strikes
2 / 3
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Frankie Edgar2 / 32 / 30 / 00
1Cory Sandhagen2 / 52 / 50 / 00

Cory Sandhagen

StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17

Frankie Edgar

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22