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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Cory McKenna won · SUB R2

Elo1493

Elo1431

Cory McKennavsMiranda GrangerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · Saturday, August 6, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cory McKenna won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:03

Model Prediction: Cory McKenna wins(77.6%)

Actual result: Cory McKenna wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cory McKenna at -195 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Miranda Granger has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Cory McKenna has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Miranda Granger has a 25cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cory McKenna

Red Corner

Miranda Granger

Blue Corner

-195

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1493

Elo

1431

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'7"

147.32 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cory McKennaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kay Hansen · Nov 20

vs Elise Reed · Mar 22

vs Cheyanne Vlismas · Dec 22

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Mar 24

vs Julia Polastri · Oct 24

latest

Miranda GrangerL2 streak

oldest →

vs Hannah Goldy · Aug 19

SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Dec 19

vs Ashley Yoder · Nov 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cory McKennaMetricMiranda Granger

2.94

Strikes / min

2.79

3.68

Strikes absorbed / min

2.57

46%

Strike defense

57%

2.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

75%

Takedown defense

33%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.74evenly matched on net striking+0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cory McKennaMiranda Granger

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cory McKenna(6 fights)Miranda Granger(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +62.3|Blue -62.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -490.0|Blue +490.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cory McKennaTargetMiranda Granger

By target zone

58% acc · 85%

Head

19% acc · 38%

50% acc · 8%

Body

100% acc · 15%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 46%

By position

57% acc · 92%

Distance

34% acc · 85%

Clinch

100% acc · 15%

100% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cory McKenna rounds

even

Miranda Granger rounds

Round 1Cory McKenna edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control3:50

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control0:50

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 22

Sig Strikes

13 / 34

55.5%

Sig Str %

43.5%

43 / 53

Total Strikes

14 / 35

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:40

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Miranda Granger	8 / 25	9 / 26	0 / 0	0
1	Cory McKenna	11 / 18	41 / 49	2 / 2	1
2	Miranda Granger	5 / 9	5 / 9	0 / 0	0
2	Cory McKenna	2 / 4	2 / 4	1 / 2	1

Cory McKenna

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach58.0"

Fights6

Miranda Granger

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4