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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Josh Stansbury won · M-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1361

Cory HendricksvsJosh StansburyUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · Friday, July 8, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Josh Stansbury won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCory Hendricks: StrikervsJosh Stansbury: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Cory Hendricks wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Josh Stansbury wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cory Hendricks at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josh Stansbury has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Cory Hendricks has a 8cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cory Hendricks

Red Corner

Josh Stansbury

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1491

Elo

1361

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

196 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cory HendricksNo prior UFC fights on record.

Josh StansburyL2 streak

oldest →

vs Devin Clark · Dec 16

KOvs Jeremy Kimball · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cory HendricksMetricJosh Stansbury

3.13

Strikes / min

3.22

4.07

Strikes absorbed / min

3.54

42%

Strike defense

54%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

100%

Takedown defense

87%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.94evenly matched on net striking-0.32

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cory Hendricks(1 fights)Josh Stansbury(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +129.8|Blue -129.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cory HendricksTargetJosh Stansbury

By target zone

28% acc · 49%

Head

53% acc · 77%

65% acc · 36%

Body

64% acc · 11%

78% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

36% acc · 79%

Distance

50% acc · 61%

71% acc · 21%

Clinch

82% acc · 15%

0% acc

Ground

68% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cory Hendricks rounds

even

Josh Stansbury rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:05

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:50Control

Round 2Josh Stansbury edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:13

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:09Control

Round 3Josh Stansbury edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:48Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 118

Sig Strikes

61 / 107

37.3%

Sig Str %

59%

52 / 124

Total Strikes

153 / 203

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

7:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Josh Stansbury	28 / 50	33 / 55	0 / 1
1	Cory Hendricks	30 / 73	33 / 76	0 / 0
2	Josh Stansbury	19 / 37	44 / 62	0 / 1
2	Cory Hendricks	16 / 42	18 / 44	0 / 1
3	Josh Stansbury	14 / 20	76 / 86	0 / 0
3	Cory Hendricks	1 / 3	1 / 4	0 / 1

Cory Hendricks

StanceSwitch

Height75.0"

Reach—

Fights1

Josh Stansbury

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3