← All fights/Event page

Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Gillian Robertson won · SUB R3

Elo1495

Elo1544

Gillian Robertson editorial illustration

Cortney CaseyvsGillian RobertsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 20, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Gillian Robertson won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:36

Style matchupCortney Casey: Pressure fightervsGillian Robertson: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Gillian Robertson wins(73.9%)

Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gillian Robertson at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Cortney Casey has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cortney Casey

Red Corner

Gillian Robertson

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1495

Elo

1544

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cortney Casey

oldest →

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Feb 19

SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20

vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21

vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21

vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22

latest

Gillian RobertsonW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24

vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24

vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24

KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cortney CaseyMetricGillian Robertson

4.29

Strikes / min

2.71

4.00

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

55%

Strike defense

56%

0.39

TDs / 15 min

2.76

39%

Takedown defense

38%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cortney CaseyGillian Robertson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cortney Casey(10 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -49.2|Blue +49.2

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -211.0|Blue +211.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cortney CaseyTargetGillian Robertson

By target zone

34% acc · 73%

Head

37% acc · 71%

67% acc · 9%

Body

50% acc · 10%

80% acc · 18%

Leg

80% acc · 19%

By position

38% acc · 91%

Distance

24% acc · 38%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

Ground

75% acc · 57%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cortney Casey rounds

even

Gillian Robertson rounds

Round 1Gillian Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:17Control

Round 2Gillian Robertson edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:22Control

Round 3Cortney Casey edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:26Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 55

Sig Strikes

21 / 50

36.3%

Sig Str %

43.3%

113 / 153

Total Strikes

41 / 72

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 4

—

TD %

83.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

11:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gillian Robertson	5 / 14	12 / 21	1 / 1	0
1	Cortney Casey	3 / 13	23 / 33	0 / 0	0
2	Gillian Robertson	12 / 16	20 / 26	1 / 1	0
2	Cortney Casey	5 / 13	40 / 49	0 / 0	0
3	Gillian Robertson	4 / 20	9 / 25	1 / 2	1
3	Cortney Casey	14 / 29	50 / 71	0 / 0	0

Cortney Casey

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15

Gillian Robertson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights20