Bantamweight

3 Rounds

ChangHo Lee won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1480

Elo1504

Cortavious RomiousvsChangHo LeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · Saturday, April 5, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

ChangHo Lee won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:48

Style matchupCortavious Romious: WrestlervsChangHo Lee: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: ChangHo Lee wins(74.8%)

Actual result: ChangHo Lee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

ChangHo Lee at -152 American odds

+$66 profit

$166 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

ChangHo Lee is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Cortavious Romious has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Cortavious Romious has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cortavious Romious (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Cortavious Romious

Red Corner

ChangHo Lee

Blue Corner

+128

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-152

(60%)

1480

Elo

1504

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cortavious Romious

oldest →

vs Gaston Bolanos · Nov 24

latest

ChangHo Lee

oldest →

vs Xiao Long · Jun 24

vs Timmy Cuamba · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cortavious RomiousMetricChangHo Lee

1.91

Strikes / min

3.88

3.46

Strikes absorbed / min

2.13

39%

Strike defense

37%

2.29

TDs / 15 min

3.20

64%

Takedown defense

40%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.55Δ 3.30 — meaningful gap+1.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cortavious RomiousChangHo Lee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cortavious Romious(2 fights)ChangHo Lee(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -24.3|Blue +24.3

Recent Form

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -140.0|Blue +140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cortavious RomiousTargetChangHo Lee

By target zone

37% acc · 64%

Head

60% acc · 95%

50% acc · 9%

Body

50% acc · 5%

100% acc · 27%

Leg

By position

46% acc · 100%

Distance

29% acc · 16%

Clinch

Ground

74% acc · 84%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cortavious Romious rounds

even

ChangHo Lee rounds

Round 1ChangHo Lee edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control1:11

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:27Control

Round 2ChangHo Lee edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control0:57

36Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 24

Sig Strikes

44 / 74

45.5%

Sig Str %

53%

14 / 27

Total Strikes

116 / 179

2 / 3

TDs

2 / 4

75%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:08

Ctrl Time

5:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	ChangHo Lee	8 / 20	61 / 99	1 / 2	1
1	Cortavious Romious	5 / 11	8 / 14	1 / 2	0
2	ChangHo Lee	36 / 54	55 / 80	1 / 2	0
2	Cortavious Romious	6 / 13	6 / 13	1 / 1	0

Cortavious Romious

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights2

ChangHo Lee

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3