← All fights/Event page

Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Corey Anderson won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1492

Elo1359

Corey AndersonvsSean O'ConnellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · Friday, December 9, 2016Albany, New York, USA

Official fight result

Corey Anderson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:36

Style matchupCorey Anderson: WrestlervsSean O'Connell: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Corey Anderson wins(72.7%)

Actual result: Corey Anderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Corey Anderson at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sean O'Connell is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Corey Anderson has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Corey Anderson has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Corey Anderson has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Corey Anderson has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Corey Anderson

Red Corner

Sean O'Connell

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1492

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'1"

200.66 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Corey Anderson

oldest →

vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18

vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18

vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18

KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19

KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20

latest

Sean O'ConnellL2 streak

oldest →

vs Gian Villante · Jun 14

KOvs Matt Van Buren · Jan 15

KOvs Anthony Perosh · May 15

KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jan 16

vs Steve Bosse · Jun 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Corey AndersonMetricSean O'Connell

4.43

Strikes / min

5.46

2.22

Strikes absorbed / min

6.77

59%

Strike defense

45%

4.89

TDs / 15 min

0.00

83%

Takedown defense

30%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.21Δ 3.52 — meaningful gap-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Corey AndersonSean O'Connell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Corey Anderson(10 fights)Sean O'Connell(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.5|Blue -133.5

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Corey AndersonTargetSean O'Connell

By target zone

63% acc · 94%

Head

29% acc · 56%

100% acc · 3%

Body

100% acc · 22%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

67% acc · 22%

By position

40% acc · 6%

Distance

23% acc · 33%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

66% acc · 92%

Ground

63% acc · 56%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Corey Anderson rounds

even

Sean O'Connell rounds

Round 1Corey Anderson edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns4

Control4:23

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Corey Anderson edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control2:25

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 103

Sig Strikes

9 / 22

63.5%

Sig Str %

47.5%

94 / 133

Total Strikes

15 / 29

5 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:48

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean O'Connell	6 / 17	12 / 24	0 / 0
1	Corey Anderson	37 / 53	57 / 75	4 / 4
2	Sean O'Connell	3 / 5	3 / 5	0 / 0
2	Corey Anderson	29 / 50	37 / 58	1 / 1

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights15

Sean O'Connell

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7