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FIGHTDETECTIVE
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Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Corey Anderson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1492
Corey Anderson
Elo1354

Corey AndersonvsMatt Van BurenUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · Sunday, July 6, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Corey Anderson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:01

Style matchupCorey Anderson: WrestlervsMatt Van Buren: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Matt Van Buren wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Corey Anderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Matt Van Buren at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Corey Anderson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Corey Anderson has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Corey Anderson
Red Corner
VS
Matt Van Buren
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
1492
Elo
1354
36
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Corey Anderson
oldest →
W
vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18
W
vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18
W
vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18
W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19
L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20
latest
Matt Van Buren
oldest →
L
KOvs Sean O'Connell · Jan 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Corey AndersonMetricMatt Van Buren
4.43
Strikes / min
7.73
2.22
Strikes absorbed / min
6.82
59%
Strike defense
49%
4.89
TDs / 15 min
0.00
83%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.21Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap+0.91
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Corey Anderson(10 fights)Matt Van Buren(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +138.0|Blue -138.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Corey AndersonTargetMatt Van Buren

By target zone

22
67% acc · 92%
Head
1
13% acc · 50%
2
67% acc · 8%
Body
1
100% acc · 50%
0
0% acc
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

9
64% acc · 38%
Distance
2
22% acc · 100%
7
54% acc · 29%
Clinch
0
0% acc
8
80% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Corey Anderson rounds
0
even
0
Matt Van Buren rounds
Round 1Corey Anderson edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control0:19
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
24 / 37
Sig Strikes
2 / 10
64%
Sig Str %
20%
28 / 45
Total Strikes
2 / 10
2 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:19
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Matt Van Buren2 / 102 / 100 / 00
1Corey Anderson24 / 3728 / 452 / 20

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15

Matt Van Buren

Stance—
Height77.0"
Reach—
Fights2