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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Corey Anderson won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1495

Corey AndersonvsJohnny WalkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · Saturday, November 2, 2019New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Corey Anderson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:07

Style matchupCorey Anderson: WrestlervsJohnny Walker: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Corey Anderson wins(59.6%)

Actual result: Corey Anderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Corey Anderson at +155 American odds

+$155 profit

$255 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Corey Anderson has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Corey Anderson has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Corey Anderson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Corey Anderson

Red Corner

Johnny Walker

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1492

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'6"

200.66 cm

Reach

208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Corey Anderson

oldest →

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Nov 17

vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18

vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18

vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18

KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20

latest

Johnny Walker

oldest →

vs Anthony Smith · May 23

KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25

DECvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Corey AndersonMetricJohnny Walker

4.43

Strikes / min

3.90

2.22

Strikes absorbed / min

2.99

59%

Strike defense

46%

4.89

TDs / 15 min

0.36

83%

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.21Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap+0.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Corey AndersonJohnny Walker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Corey Anderson(10 fights)Johnny Walker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.5|Blue +2.5

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +2.5|Blue -2.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Corey AndersonTargetJohnny Walker

By target zone

55% acc · 95%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 5%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

33% acc · 23%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

77% acc · 45%

Clinch

64% acc · 32%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Corey Anderson rounds

even

Johnny Walker rounds

Round 1Corey Anderson edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control0:22

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 39

Sig Strikes

1 / 3

56%

Sig Str %

33%

26 / 43

Total Strikes

1 / 3

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:22

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Johnny Walker	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0
1	Corey Anderson	22 / 39	26 / 43	1 / 2	0

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights15

Johnny Walker

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights14