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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Jan Blachowicz won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1492

Elo1493

Corey AndersonvsJan BlachowiczUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · Saturday, February 15, 2020Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA

Official fight result

Jan Blachowicz won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:08

Style matchupCorey Anderson: WrestlervsJan Blachowicz: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Corey Anderson wins(68.6%)

Actual result: Jan Blachowicz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Corey Anderson at -235 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Corey Anderson

Red Corner

Jan Blachowicz

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1492

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

200.66 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Corey AndersonW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Nov 17

vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18

vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18

vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18

KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19

latest

Jan Blachowicz

oldest →

SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22

vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23

vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25

vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Corey AndersonMetricJan Blachowicz

4.43

Strikes / min

3.55

2.22

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

59%

Strike defense

52%

4.89

TDs / 15 min

0.98

83%

Takedown defense

69%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.21Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Corey AndersonJan Blachowicz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Corey Anderson(10 fights)Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Corey AndersonTargetJan Blachowicz

By target zone

21% acc · 36%

Head

41% acc · 85%

75% acc · 27%

Body

33% acc · 8%

100% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

41% acc · 100%

Distance

41% acc · 92%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Corey Anderson rounds

even

Jan Blachowicz rounds

Round 1Jan Blachowicz edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns0

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 27

Sig Strikes

13 / 31

40%

Sig Str %

41%

11 / 27

Total Strikes

13 / 31

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jan Blachowicz	13 / 31	13 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Corey Anderson	11 / 27	11 / 27	0 / 0	0

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights15

Jan Blachowicz

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights21