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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Gian Villante won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1492

Elo1411

Corey AndersonvsGian VillanteUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · Saturday, April 18, 2015Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Gian Villante won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:18

Style matchupCorey Anderson: WrestlervsGian Villante: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Corey Anderson wins(75.3%)

Actual result: Gian Villante wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Corey Anderson at -400 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Gian Villante is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Corey Anderson has lost 80% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Corey Anderson

Red Corner

Gian Villante

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1492

Elo

1411

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

200.66 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Corey Anderson

oldest →

vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18

vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18

vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18

KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19

KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20

latest

Gian VillanteL4 streak

oldest →

vs Ed Herman · Oct 18

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19

SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20

vs Jake Collier · Dec 20

KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Corey AndersonMetricGian Villante

4.43

Strikes / min

4.38

2.22

Strikes absorbed / min

5.47

59%

Strike defense

55%

4.89

TDs / 15 min

0.45

83%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.21Δ 3.30 — meaningful gap-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Corey AndersonGian Villante

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Corey Anderson(10 fights)Gian Villante(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +81.4|Blue -81.4

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -161.0|Blue +161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Corey AndersonTargetGian Villante

By target zone

38% acc · 87%

Head

29% acc · 53%

55% acc · 10%

Body

60% acc · 4%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

88% acc · 43%

By position

108

40% acc · 97%

Distance

42% acc · 99%

33% acc · 3%

Clinch

20% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Corey Anderson rounds

even

Gian Villante rounds

Round 1Corey Anderson edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Corey Anderson edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Corey Anderson edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

111 / 279

Sig Strikes

70 / 168

39.7%

Sig Str %

41%

113 / 281

Total Strikes

70 / 168

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gian Villante	23 / 54	23 / 54	0 / 0
1	Corey Anderson	40 / 93	40 / 93	0 / 2
2	Gian Villante	23 / 55	23 / 55	0 / 0
2	Corey Anderson	36 / 99	38 / 101	0 / 1
3	Gian Villante	24 / 59	24 / 59	0 / 0
3	Corey Anderson	35 / 87	35 / 87	0 / 1

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights15

Gian Villante

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18