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Lightweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Norman Parke won · U-DEC R3

Elo1352

Elo1490

Colin FletchervsNorman ParkeUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · Friday, December 14, 2012Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Norman Parke won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupColin Fletcher: StrikervsNorman Parke: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Colin Fletcher wins(55.4%)

Actual result: Norman Parke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Colin Fletcher at +116 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norman Parke has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Norman Parke (53.5%).
Colin Fletcher has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Colin Fletcher

Red Corner

Norman Parke

Blue Corner

+116

(46%)

Vegas Odds

-126

(56%)

1352

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

5'11"

198.12 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Colin Fletcher

oldest →

vs Mike Ricci · Mar 13

latest

Norman Parke

oldest →

KOvs Naoyuki Kotani · Jul 14

vs Gleison Tibau · Jan 15

vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 15

vs Reza Madadi · Oct 15

vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Colin FletcherMetricNorman Parke

3.10

Strikes / min

3.06

2.97

Strikes absorbed / min

2.88

62%

Strike defense

64%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.98

27%

Takedown defense

77%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.18

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Colin Fletcher(2 fights)Norman Parke(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.5|Blue +138.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Colin FletcherTargetNorman Parke

By target zone

25% acc · 38%

Head

38% acc · 69%

42% acc · 18%

Body

46% acc · 14%

78% acc · 45%

Leg

88% acc · 17%

By position

40% acc · 96%

Distance

39% acc · 83%

40% acc · 4%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

Ground

86% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Colin Fletcher rounds

even

Norman Parke rounds

Round 1Norman Parke edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:35

6Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:59Control

Round 2Norman Parke edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 3Colin Fletcher edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 141

Sig Strikes

42 / 98

27.3%

Sig Str %

55%

66 / 154

Total Strikes

48 / 105

0 / 0

TDs

6 / 9

—

TD %

72%

Sub Att

Rev

0:35

Ctrl Time

6:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Norman Parke	6 / 8	12 / 15	2 / 3
1	Colin Fletcher	0 / 4	9 / 16	0 / 0
2	Norman Parke	16 / 27	16 / 27	2 / 4
2	Colin Fletcher	17 / 39	18 / 40	0 / 0
3	Norman Parke	20 / 63	20 / 63	2 / 2
3	Colin Fletcher	39 / 98	39 / 98	0 / 0

Colin Fletcher

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Norman Parke

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8