Featherweight

3 Rounds

Cole Miller won · SUB R2

Elo1359

Cole MillervsSam SiciliaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · Wednesday, January 15, 2014Duluth, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Cole Miller won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:54

Model Prediction: Cole Miller wins(73.1%)

Actual result: Cole Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cole Miller at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cole Miller enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Sam Sicilia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Cole Miller threatens submissions; Sam Sicilia has lost 43% of fights by sub.
Sam Sicilia has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Cole Miller has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cole Miller

Red Corner

Sam Sicilia

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1359

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cole MillerL3 streak

oldest →

vs Manvel Gamburyan · Aug 13

vs Andy Ogle · Oct 13

vs Max Holloway · Feb 15

vs Alex Caceres · Jun 16

vs Mizuto Hirota · Dec 16

latest

Sam SiciliaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15

vs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 15

KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16

vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cole MillerMetricSam Sicilia

3.00

Strikes / min

2.46

3.88

Strikes absorbed / min

3.55

59%

Strike defense

59%

0.60

TDs / 15 min

1.45

38%

Takedown defense

70%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.88evenly matched on net striking-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cole MillerSam Sicilia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cole Miller(10 fights)Sam Sicilia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cole MillerTargetSam Sicilia

By target zone

36% acc · 71%

Head

11% acc · 36%

40% acc · 11%

Body

100% acc · 36%

100% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 29%

By position

42% acc · 97%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cole Miller rounds

even

Sam Sicilia rounds

Round 1Cole Miller edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cole Miller edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:24

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 91

Sig Strikes

14 / 56

43%

Sig Str %

35.5%

38 / 91

Total Strikes

14 / 56

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:24

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sam Sicilia	8 / 45	8 / 45	0 / 0	0
1	Cole Miller	24 / 62	24 / 62	0 / 0	0
2	Sam Sicilia	6 / 11	6 / 11	0 / 2	0
2	Cole Miller	14 / 29	14 / 29	0 / 0	1

Cole Miller

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12

Sam Sicilia

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12