Lightweight

3 Rounds

Cole Miller won · SUB R2

Elo1359

Elo1372

Cole MillervsRoss PearsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · Wednesday, September 15, 2010Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Cole Miller won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:49

Model Prediction: Ross Pearson wins(69.3%)

Actual result: Cole Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ross Pearson at -210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cole Miller enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ross Pearson has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Cole Miller has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cole Miller

Red Corner

Ross Pearson

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1359

Elo

1372

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cole MillerL3 streak

oldest →

vs Andy Ogle · Oct 13

SUBvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 14

vs Max Holloway · Feb 15

vs Alex Caceres · Jun 16

vs Mizuto Hirota · Dec 16

latest

Ross PearsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

vs John Makdessi · Jul 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cole MillerMetricRoss Pearson

3.00

Strikes / min

3.68

3.88

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

59%

Strike defense

62%

0.60

TDs / 15 min

0.74

38%

Takedown defense

75%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.88evenly matched on net striking-0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cole MillerRoss Pearson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cole Miller(10 fights)Ross Pearson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.0|Blue +13.0

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +45.8|Blue -45.8

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cole MillerTargetRoss Pearson

By target zone

25% acc · 75%

Head

19% acc · 38%

100% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 8%

75% acc · 13%

Leg

93% acc · 54%

By position

31% acc · 96%

Distance

36% acc · 92%

0% acc

Clinch

33% acc · 4%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cole Miller rounds

even

Ross Pearson rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:32

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 2Cole Miller edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 78

Sig Strikes

26 / 71

32.5%

Sig Str %

38%

24 / 78

Total Strikes

30 / 75

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

16.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ross Pearson	16 / 48	20 / 52	0 / 0	0
1	Cole Miller	13 / 51	13 / 51	1 / 3	0
2	Ross Pearson	10 / 23	10 / 23	0 / 0	0
2	Cole Miller	11 / 27	11 / 27	0 / 1	1

Cole Miller

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23