Featherweight

3 Rounds

Nam Phan won · S-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1353

Cole MillervsNam PhanUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · Saturday, August 4, 2012Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Nam Phan won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cole Miller wins(62.0%)

Actual result: Nam Phan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cole Miller at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cole Miller enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Nam Phan enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Nam Phan has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Cole Miller

Red Corner

Nam Phan

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1359

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'6"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cole MillerL3 streak

oldest →

vs Andy Ogle · Oct 13

SUBvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 14

vs Max Holloway · Feb 15

vs Alex Caceres · Jun 16

vs Mizuto Hirota · Dec 16

latest

Nam PhanL4 streak

oldest →

vs Leonard Garcia · Oct 11

vs Jimy Hettes · Dec 11

vs Dennis Siver · Dec 12

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Dec 13

vs Vaughan Lee · Mar 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cole MillerMetricNam Phan

3.00

Strikes / min

4.52

3.88

Strikes absorbed / min

6.55

59%

Strike defense

59%

0.60

TDs / 15 min

0.18

38%

Takedown defense

60%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.88Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap-2.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cole MillerNam Phan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cole Miller(10 fights)Nam Phan(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.9|Blue -5.9

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -3.2|Blue +3.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cole MillerTargetNam Phan

By target zone

120

31% acc · 84%

Head

31% acc · 74%

50% acc · 13%

Body

60% acc · 20%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

78% acc · 5%

By position

143

34% acc · 100%

Distance

129

35% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cole Miller rounds

even

Nam Phan rounds

Round 1Nam Phan edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cole Miller edged it

Sig. strikes56

Takedowns0

Control0:00

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Nam Phan edged it

Sig. strikes49

Takedowns0

Control0:00

53Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

143 / 422

Sig Strikes

129 / 366

33.7%

Sig Str %

35%

143 / 422

Total Strikes

129 / 366

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nam Phan	40 / 107	40 / 107	0 / 0
1	Cole Miller	38 / 120	38 / 120	0 / 0
2	Nam Phan	36 / 120	36 / 120	0 / 0
2	Cole Miller	56 / 132	56 / 132	0 / 0
3	Nam Phan	53 / 139	53 / 139	0 / 0
3	Cole Miller	49 / 170	49 / 170	0 / 1

Cole Miller

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12

Nam Phan

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8