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Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Douglas Silva de Andrade won · U-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1484

Cody StamannvsDouglas Silva de AndradeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · Saturday, May 13, 2023Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Douglas Silva de Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCody Stamann: WrestlervsDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Cody Stamann wins(66.8%)

Actual result: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Stamann at -156 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Douglas Silva de Andrade has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Stamann

Red Corner

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Blue Corner

-156

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1488

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody StamannL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Said Nurmagomedov · Jan 22

KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22

vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24

SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24

latest

Douglas Silva de AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Gaetano Pirrello · Oct 21

SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22

vs Miles Johns · Jun 24

KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody StamannMetricDouglas Silva de Andrade

4.32

Strikes / min

3.54

3.91

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

60%

Strike defense

56%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

0.54

76%

Takedown defense

71%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody StamannDouglas Silva de Andrade

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Stamann(10 fights)Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.1|Blue -4.1

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -196.0|Blue +196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody StamannTargetDouglas Silva de Andrade

By target zone

34% acc · 74%

Head

16% acc · 28%

53% acc · 17%

Body

53% acc · 38%

83% acc · 9%

Leg

78% acc · 34%

By position

37% acc · 91%

Distance

34% acc · 98%

Clinch

33% acc · 2%

83% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Stamann rounds

even

Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds

Round 1Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:06

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:21

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control1:32

Knockdowns1

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 139

Sig Strikes

61 / 178

37.3%

Sig Str %

34%

66 / 152

Total Strikes

72 / 189

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

25%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:59

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Douglas Silva de Andrade	23 / 72	23 / 72	0 / 1
1	Cody Stamann	14 / 39	14 / 39	1 / 2
2	Douglas Silva de Andrade	21 / 52	21 / 52	0 / 0
2	Cody Stamann	14 / 44	14 / 44	0 / 3
3	Douglas Silva de Andrade	17 / 54	28 / 65	0 / 0
3	Cody Stamann	26 / 56	38 / 69	0 / 0

Cody Stamann

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights14

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14