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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Cody Stamann won · U-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1489

Cody StamannvsBrian KelleherUFC Prediction Result

UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Saturday, June 6, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Stamann won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCody Stamann: WrestlervsBrian Kelleher: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Cody Stamann wins(62.5%)

Actual result: Cody Stamann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Stamann at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Stamann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Cody Stamann has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Cody Stamann

Red Corner

Brian Kelleher

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1488

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'6"

162.56 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody StamannL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22

vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23

vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · May 23

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24

SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24

latest

Brian KelleherL4 streak

oldest →

vs Kevin Croom · Jan 22

SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22

SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 23

SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody StamannMetricBrian Kelleher

4.32

Strikes / min

3.31

3.91

Strikes absorbed / min

4.59

60%

Strike defense

54%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

1.68

76%

Takedown defense

60%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap-1.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody StamannBrian Kelleher

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Stamann(10 fights)Brian Kelleher(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +2.9|Blue -2.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +438.0|Blue -438.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody StamannTargetBrian Kelleher

By target zone

44% acc · 76%

Head

20% acc · 46%

76% acc · 18%

Body

43% acc · 21%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

90% acc · 33%

By position

47% acc · 87%

Distance

31% acc · 93%

70% acc · 8%

Clinch

50% acc · 5%

83% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Stamann rounds

even

Brian Kelleher rounds

Round 1Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:05

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns1

Control1:28

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 3Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control0:15

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:20Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

89 / 179

Sig Strikes

57 / 177

49%

Sig Str %

32%

113 / 205

Total Strikes

64 / 185

2 / 4

TDs

1 / 3

66.5%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

1:48

Ctrl Time

0:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Brian Kelleher	17 / 55	17 / 55	0 / 0
1	Cody Stamann	24 / 55	24 / 55	0 / 0
2	Brian Kelleher	19 / 52	20 / 53	0 / 1
2	Cody Stamann	35 / 69	56 / 91	1 / 1
3	Brian Kelleher	21 / 70	27 / 77	1 / 2
3	Cody Stamann	30 / 55	33 / 59	1 / 3

Cody Stamann

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights14

Brian Kelleher

StanceSwitch

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17