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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Stamann won · U-DEC R3
Elo1488
Cody Stamann
Elo1495

Cody StamannvsAlejandro PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Saturday, March 2, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Stamann won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCody Stamann: WrestlervsAlejandro Perez: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Cody Stamann wins(64.0%)

Actual result: Cody Stamann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Stamann at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cody Stamann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Stamann
Red Corner
VS
Alejandro Perez
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
1488
Elo
1495
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody StamannL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22
W
vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23
L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · May 23
L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24
latest
Alejandro Perez
oldest →
W
KOvs Matthew Lopez · Apr 18
W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 18
L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19
W
SUBvs Johnny Eduardo · Oct 21
L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody StamannMetricAlejandro Perez
4.32
Strikes / min
3.45
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
3.18
60%
Strike defense
61%
2.17
TDs / 15 min
0.54
76%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1534 vs 1585Strikes66.8 vs 40.2Takedowns3.8 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.11Form0.2 vs 1.0
Cody StamannAlejandro Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Cody Stamann(10 fights)Alejandro Perez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -6.6|Blue +6.6
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody StamannTargetAlejandro Perez

By target zone

21
27% acc · 44%
Head
17
20% acc · 41%
19
63% acc · 40%
Body
8
62% acc · 20%
8
57% acc · 17%
Leg
16
76% acc · 39%

By position

46
39% acc · 96%
Distance
33
31% acc · 80%
2
50% acc · 4%
Clinch
3
38% acc · 7%
0
Ground
5
100% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Cody Stamann rounds
2
even
0
Alejandro Perez rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:20
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Cody Stamann edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:23
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:38
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
48 / 121
Sig Strikes
41 / 121
38.7%
Sig Str %
33.3%
49 / 122
Total Strikes
51 / 133
0 / 8
TDs
1 / 2
0%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:21
Ctrl Time
0:29

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Alejandro Perez13 / 3714 / 380 / 00
1Cody Stamann12 / 3213 / 330 / 40
2Alejandro Perez10 / 3214 / 380 / 00
2Cody Stamann14 / 4214 / 420 / 30
3Alejandro Perez18 / 5223 / 571 / 20
3Cody Stamann22 / 4722 / 470 / 10

Cody Stamann

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights14

Alejandro Perez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12