Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Cody McKenzie won · SUB R1
Elo1490
Elo1490

Cody McKenzievsMarcus LeVesseurUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · Tuesday, May 15, 2012Fairfax, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Cody McKenzie won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:05

Style matchupCody McKenzie: WrestlervsMarcus LeVesseur: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Cody McKenzie wins(61.0%)

Actual result: Cody McKenzie wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody McKenzie at +170 American odds

+$170 profit

$270 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cody McKenzie threatens submissions; Marcus LeVesseur has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Cody McKenzie has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Marcus LeVesseur has 69pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cody McKenzie (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Cody McKenzie
Red Corner
VS
Marcus LeVesseur
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
1490
Elo
1490
38
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody McKenzie
oldest →
L
SUBvs Yves Edwards · Jan 11
L
SUBvs Vagner Rocha · Sep 11
L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 12
W
vs Leonard Garcia · Apr 13
L
vs Sam Stout · Dec 13
latest
Marcus LeVesseur
oldest →
W
vs Carlo Prater · Oct 12
L
KOvs Abel Trujillo · Dec 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody McKenzieMetricMarcus LeVesseur
1.74
Strikes / min
2.55
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.70
67%
Strike defense
37%
2.50
TDs / 15 min
3.89
14%
Takedown defense
83%
2.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76evenly matched on net striking-1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1481 vs 1500Strikes10.3 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts1.00 vs —Form-0.5 vs 0.0
Cody McKenzieMarcus LeVesseur

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Cody McKenzie(7 fights)Marcus LeVesseur(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody McKenzieTargetMarcus LeVesseur

By target zone

1
14% acc · 100%
Head
6
55% acc · 86%
0
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
1
50% acc · 14%

By position

1
14% acc · 100%
Distance
3
33% acc · 43%
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 14%
0
Ground
3
75% acc · 43%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Cody McKenzie rounds
0
even
1
Marcus LeVesseur rounds
Round 1Marcus LeVesseur edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:02
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:09Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
1 / 7
Sig Strikes
7 / 14
14%
Sig Str %
50%
10 / 16
Total Strikes
8 / 15
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 2
—
TD %
100%
2
Sub Att
1
1
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
2:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Marcus LeVesseur7 / 148 / 152 / 21
1Cody McKenzie1 / 710 / 160 / 02

Cody McKenzie

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7

Marcus LeVesseur

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3