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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Aoriqileng won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1458
Cody Gibson
Elo1491

Cody GibsonvsAoriqilengUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Saturday, October 18, 2025Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Aoriqileng won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:21

Style matchupCody Gibson: WrestlervsAoriqileng: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Aoriqileng wins(75.5%)

Actual result: Aoriqileng wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aoriqileng at +160 American odds

+$160 profit

$260 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Cody Gibson
Red Corner
VS
Aoriqileng
Blue Corner
-182
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
1458
Elo
1491
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody GibsonL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Miles Johns · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jul 24
W
vs Chad Anheliger · Nov 24
L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Abdul Hussein · Jul 26
latest
AoriqilengL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jay Perrin · Aug 22
L
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 23
W
vs Johnny Munoz · Oct 23
L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Sep 24
L
KOvs Cody Haddon · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody GibsonMetricAoriqileng
3.63
Strikes / min
4.69
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
5.47
57%
Strike defense
48%
2.12
TDs / 15 min
1.20
69%
Takedown defense
58%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1463 vs 1499Strikes3.6 vs 4.7Takedowns2.1 vs 1.2Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -0.3
Cody GibsonAoriqileng

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Cody Gibson(10 fights)Aoriqileng(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -33.0|Blue +33.0
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -182.0|Blue +182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody GibsonTargetAoriqileng

By target zone

1
100% acc · 33%
Head
5
71% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
0% acc
2
100% acc · 67%
Leg
0

By position

3
100% acc · 100%
Distance
2
100% acc · 40%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
3
50% acc · 60%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Cody Gibson rounds
0
even
1
Aoriqileng rounds
Round 1Aoriqileng edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
3 / 3
Sig Strikes
5 / 8
100%
Sig Str %
62%
3 / 3
Total Strikes
6 / 9
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Aoriqileng5 / 86 / 90 / 00
1Cody Gibson3 / 33 / 30 / 00

Cody Gibson

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11

Aoriqileng

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9