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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Aljamain Sterling won · U-DEC R3

Elo1458

Elo1524

Cody GibsonvsAljamain SterlingUFC Prediction Result

UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · Saturday, February 22, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Aljamain Sterling won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCody Gibson: WrestlervsAljamain Sterling: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Cody Gibson wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Gibson at +280 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Gibson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Cody Gibson has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Gibson

Red Corner

Aljamain Sterling

Blue Corner

+280

(26%)

Vegas Odds

-340

(77%)

1458

Elo

1524

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody GibsonL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jul 24

vs Chad Anheliger · Nov 24

SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Mar 25

KOvs Aoriqileng · Oct 25

SUBvs Abdul Hussein · Jul 26

latest

Aljamain SterlingW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23

vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24

vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24

vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25

DECvs Youssef Zalal · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody GibsonMetricAljamain Sterling

3.63

Strikes / min

4.26

3.22

Strikes absorbed / min

2.15

57%

Strike defense

59%

2.12

TDs / 15 min

2.54

69%

Takedown defense

44%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap+2.11

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Gibson(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -66.4|Blue +66.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody GibsonTargetAljamain Sterling

By target zone

25% acc · 50%

Head

40% acc · 50%

62% acc · 44%

Body

77% acc · 37%

25% acc · 6%

Leg

60% acc · 13%

By position

19% acc · 28%

Distance

28% acc · 24%

48% acc · 61%

Clinch

68% acc · 54%

50% acc · 11%

Ground

77% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Gibson rounds

even

Aljamain Sterling rounds

Round 1Aljamain Sterling edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control0:34

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:41Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns3

Control2:35

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:56Control

Round 3Aljamain Sterling edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:01

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:17Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 53

Sig Strikes

46 / 89

32.3%

Sig Str %

52.7%

35 / 73

Total Strikes

132 / 177

4 / 6

TDs

3 / 5

66.5%

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:10

Ctrl Time

7:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Aljamain Sterling	19 / 41	48 / 70	1 / 2	0
1	Cody Gibson	8 / 24	17 / 35	1 / 3	0
2	Aljamain Sterling	16 / 28	27 / 40	1 / 1	0
2	Cody Gibson	8 / 22	13 / 28	3 / 3	1
3	Aljamain Sterling	11 / 20	57 / 67	1 / 2	3
3	Cody Gibson	2 / 7	5 / 10	0 / 0	0

Cody Gibson

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11

Aljamain Sterling

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights23