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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

TJ Dillashaw won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1487

Elo1496

Cody GarbrandtvsTJ DillashawUFC Prediction Result

UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · Saturday, November 4, 2017New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

TJ Dillashaw won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:41

Style matchupCody Garbrandt: Well-roundedvsTJ Dillashaw: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: TJ Dillashaw wins(61.5%)

Actual result: TJ Dillashaw wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

TJ Dillashaw at +175 American odds

+$175 profit

$275 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Garbrandt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). TJ Dillashaw has lost 60% of fights by KO.
TJ Dillashaw is a KO finisher (54% of wins). Cody Garbrandt has lost 63% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Garbrandt

Red Corner

TJ Dillashaw

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1487

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Garbrandt

oldest →

KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24

vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25

vs Xiao Long · Mar 26

KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 26

latest

TJ Dillashaw

oldest →

vs John Lineker · Dec 16

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19

vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21

KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody GarbrandtMetricTJ Dillashaw

2.79

Strikes / min

5.09

3.66

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

58%

Strike defense

62%

0.85

TDs / 15 min

1.56

81%

Takedown defense

77%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.87Δ 2.49 — meaningful gap+1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody GarbrandtTJ Dillashaw

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.3|Blue +8.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody GarbrandtTargetTJ Dillashaw

By target zone

34% acc · 89%

Head

24% acc · 60%

40% acc · 11%

Body

8% acc · 5%

0% acc

Leg

35% acc · 35%

By position

34% acc · 94%

Distance

19% acc · 70%

Clinch

33% acc · 6%

Ground

86% acc · 30%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Garbrandt rounds

even

TJ Dillashaw rounds

Round 1Cody Garbrandt edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2TJ Dillashaw edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

2Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 53

Sig Strikes

20 / 81

31%

Sig Str %

26%

19 / 54

Total Strikes

23 / 85

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	TJ Dillashaw	9 / 49	9 / 49	0 / 0
1	Cody Garbrandt	15 / 42	16 / 43	0 / 0
2	TJ Dillashaw	11 / 32	14 / 36	0 / 1
2	Cody Garbrandt	3 / 11	3 / 11	0 / 0

Cody Garbrandt

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights18

TJ Dillashaw

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18