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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Pedro Munhoz won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1487
Elo1488
Pedro Munhoz

Cody GarbrandtvsPedro MunhozUFC Prediction Result

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Saturday, March 2, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Pedro Munhoz won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:52

Style matchupCody Garbrandt: Well-roundedvsPedro Munhoz: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Pedro Munhoz wins(63.6%)

Actual result: Pedro Munhoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pedro Munhoz at +140 American odds

+$140 profit

$240 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Garbrandt
Red Corner
VS
Pedro Munhoz
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1487
Elo
1488
35
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Garbrandt
oldest →
W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23
L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24
L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25
W
vs Xiao Long · Mar 26
L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 26
latest
Pedro MunhozL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21
W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23
L
vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23
L
vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24
L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody GarbrandtMetricPedro Munhoz
2.79
Strikes / min
5.38
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
6.29
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
0.48
81%
Takedown defense
82%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87evenly matched on net striking-0.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1567 vs 1569Strikes32.5 vs 43.0Takedowns0.6 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.73Form-0.4 vs 0.7
Cody GarbrandtPedro Munhoz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +118.0|Blue -118.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody GarbrandtTargetPedro Munhoz

By target zone

19
38% acc · 90%
Head
16
44% acc · 64%
1
17% acc · 5%
Body
3
100% acc · 12%
1
25% acc · 5%
Leg
6
75% acc · 24%

By position

20
34% acc · 95%
Distance
18
47% acc · 72%
0
Clinch
1
50% acc · 4%
1
100% acc · 5%
Ground
6
86% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Cody Garbrandt rounds
0
even
1
Pedro Munhoz rounds
Round 1Pedro Munhoz edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns0
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
21 / 60
Sig Strikes
25 / 47
35%
Sig Str %
53%
21 / 60
Total Strikes
28 / 51
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
0:21

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Pedro Munhoz25 / 4728 / 510 / 10
1Cody Garbrandt21 / 6021 / 600 / 00

Cody Garbrandt

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights18

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights20