Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cody Garbrandt won · U-DEC R3

Elo1487

Elo1365

Cody GarbrandtvsHenry BrionesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · Saturday, July 11, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Garbrandt won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cody Garbrandt wins(62.3%)

Actual result: Cody Garbrandt wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Garbrandt at -1000 American odds

+$10 profit

$110 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henry Briones enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Cody Garbrandt has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Henry Briones has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Garbrandt

Red Corner

Henry Briones

Blue Corner

-1000

(91%)

Vegas Odds

+650

(13%)

1487

Elo

1365

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

165.1 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Garbrandt

oldest →

KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24

vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25

vs Xiao Long · Mar 26

KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 26

latest

Henry BrionesL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Guido Cannetti · Nov 14

KOvs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 16

SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 17

vs Frankie Saenz · May 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody GarbrandtMetricHenry Briones

2.79

Strikes / min

3.47

3.66

Strikes absorbed / min

4.68

58%

Strike defense

53%

0.85

TDs / 15 min

0.00

81%

Takedown defense

52%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.87evenly matched on net striking-1.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody GarbrandtHenry Briones

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)Henry Briones(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +121.9|Blue -121.9

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody GarbrandtTargetHenry Briones

By target zone

39% acc · 89%

Head

29% acc · 63%

80% acc · 6%

Body

50% acc · 31%

50% acc · 5%

Leg

29% acc · 6%

By position

39% acc · 86%

Distance

33% acc · 94%

75% acc · 5%

Clinch

33% acc · 6%

50% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Garbrandt rounds

even

Henry Briones rounds

Round 1Cody Garbrandt edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns2

Control0:25

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cody Garbrandt edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Cody Garbrandt edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns1

Control0:24

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 158

Sig Strikes

35 / 106

39%

Sig Str %

32.7%

68 / 162

Total Strikes

38 / 109

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:54

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Henry Briones	9 / 27	11 / 29	0 / 0
1	Cody Garbrandt	13 / 44	16 / 47	2 / 2
2	Henry Briones	14 / 36	14 / 36	0 / 0
2	Cody Garbrandt	24 / 56	24 / 56	0 / 2
3	Henry Briones	12 / 43	13 / 44	0 / 0
3	Cody Garbrandt	27 / 58	28 / 59	1 / 2

Cody Garbrandt

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights18

Henry Briones

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5