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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Curtis Blaydes won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1358

Elo1495

Cody EastvsCurtis BlaydesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · Saturday, October 1, 2016Portland, Oregon, USA

Official fight result

Curtis Blaydes won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:02

Style matchupCody East: WrestlervsCurtis Blaydes: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Cody East wins(54.7%)

Actual result: Curtis Blaydes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody East at +195 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Curtis Blaydes is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Cody East has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Curtis Blaydes has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Curtis Blaydes has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Curtis Blaydes has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody East

Red Corner

Curtis Blaydes

Blue Corner

+195

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-235

(70%)

1358

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'4"

187.96 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody East

oldest →

KOvs Walt Harris · Apr 16

latest

Curtis Blaydes

oldest →

KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23

KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24

KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24

vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25

DECvs Josh Hokit · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody EastMetricCurtis Blaydes

4.15

Strikes / min

4.18

7.32

Strikes absorbed / min

2.76

40%

Strike defense

53%

3.97

TDs / 15 min

5.12

16%

Takedown defense

35%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.17Δ 4.59 — meaningful gap+1.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody EastCurtis Blaydes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody East(2 fights)Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -137.4|Blue +137.4

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -13.0|Blue +13.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody EastTargetCurtis Blaydes

By target zone

40% acc · 81%

Head

59% acc · 79%

Body

88% acc · 13%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

39% acc · 71%

Distance

48% acc · 19%

80% acc · 19%

Clinch

50% acc · 12%

50% acc · 10%

Ground

75% acc · 69%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody East rounds

even

Curtis Blaydes rounds

Round 1Curtis Blaydes edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns3

Control0:25

24Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

2:53Control

Round 2Curtis Blaydes edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 47

Sig Strikes

52 / 81

46.5%

Sig Str %

67.5%

40 / 68

Total Strikes

109 / 149

3 / 3

TDs

5 / 6

100%

TD %

90%

Sub Att

Rev

0:25

Ctrl Time

4:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Curtis Blaydes	24 / 49	58 / 94	4 / 5
1	Cody East	16 / 37	30 / 52	3 / 3
2	Curtis Blaydes	28 / 32	51 / 55	1 / 1
2	Cody East	5 / 10	10 / 16	0 / 0

Cody East

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Curtis Blaydes

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights19