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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Cody Durden won · U-DEC R3

Elo1458

Elo1496

Cody DurdenvsJake HadleyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · Saturday, August 5, 2023Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Cody Durden won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cody Durden wins(75.5%)

Actual result: Cody Durden wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jake Hadley has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Durden

Red Corner

Jake Hadley

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1458

Elo

1496

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Durden

oldest →

KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25

SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25

vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26

DECvs Jafel Filho · Apr 26

SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26

latest

Jake Hadley

oldest →

SUBvs Carlos Candelario · Nov 22

KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Mar 23

vs Charles Johnson · May 24

vs Caolan Loughran · Jul 24

vs Cameron Smotherman · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody DurdenMetricJake Hadley

3.24

Strikes / min

3.80

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

4.16

50%

Strike defense

61%

3.99

TDs / 15 min

0.33

56%

Takedown defense

54%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking-0.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody DurdenJake Hadley

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Durden(10 fights)Jake Hadley(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -37.5|Blue +37.5

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody DurdenTargetJake Hadley

By target zone

35% acc · 61%

Head

20% acc · 46%

82% acc · 24%

Body

63% acc · 38%

75% acc · 16%

Leg

67% acc · 15%

By position

45% acc · 79%

Distance

30% acc · 88%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

43% acc · 12%

41% acc · 18%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Durden rounds

even

Jake Hadley rounds

Round 1Cody Durden edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns3

Control2:48

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control1:54

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:01Control

Round 3Cody Durden edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control2:43

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 85

Sig Strikes

26 / 83

44.3%

Sig Str %

33.7%

63 / 122

Total Strikes

45 / 106

4 / 6

TDs

0 / 3

62.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:25

Ctrl Time

2:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jake Hadley	7 / 37	9 / 39	0 / 0	1
1	Cody Durden	12 / 30	12 / 32	3 / 4	0
2	Jake Hadley	12 / 22	27 / 40	0 / 1	2
2	Cody Durden	11 / 24	18 / 35	1 / 2	1
3	Jake Hadley	7 / 24	9 / 27	0 / 2	0
3	Cody Durden	15 / 31	33 / 55	0 / 0	0

Cody Durden

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17

Jake Hadley

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7