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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Bruno Silva won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1458

Elo1453

Cody DurdenvsBruno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Saturday, July 20, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bruno Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:58

Style matchupCody Durden: WrestlervsBruno Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Cody Durden wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Bruno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Durden at +124 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bruno Silva has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).
Bruno Silva has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Durden

Red Corner

Bruno Silva

Blue Corner

+124

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1458

Elo

1453

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

6'0"

170.18 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Durden

oldest →

KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25

SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25

vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26

DECvs Jafel Filho · Apr 26

SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26

latest

Bruno SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25

KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25

vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26

SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody DurdenMetricBruno Silva

3.24

Strikes / min

3.86

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

5.35

50%

Strike defense

41%

3.99

TDs / 15 min

0.77

56%

Takedown defense

74%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody DurdenBruno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Durden(10 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.3|Blue -5.3

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody DurdenTargetBruno Silva

By target zone

38% acc · 71%

Head

54% acc · 74%

71% acc · 18%

Body

60% acc · 14%

75% acc · 11%

Leg

83% acc · 12%

By position

44% acc · 96%

Distance

47% acc · 57%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

81% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Durden rounds

even

Bruno Silva rounds

Round 1Cody Durden edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:12

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 2Bruno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control2:23

Knockdowns0

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 63

Sig Strikes

42 / 73

54%

Sig Str %

61%

31 / 68

Total Strikes

45 / 77

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 2

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:35

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bruno Silva	22 / 47	23 / 48	0 / 1	0
1	Cody Durden	24 / 57	25 / 58	0 / 0	0
2	Bruno Silva	20 / 26	22 / 29	0 / 1	0
2	Cody Durden	4 / 6	6 / 10	1 / 1	3

Cody Durden

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights23