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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Cody Durden won · U-DEC R3

Elo1458

Elo1491

Cody DurdenvsAoriqilengUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Saturday, November 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Durden won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCody Durden: WrestlervsAoriqileng: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Aoriqileng wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Cody Durden wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aoriqileng at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Cody Durden

Red Corner

Aoriqileng

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1458

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Durden

oldest →

KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25

SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25

vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26

DECvs Jafel Filho · Apr 26

SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26

latest

Aoriqileng

oldest →

KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 23

vs Johnny Munoz · Oct 23

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Sep 24

KOvs Cody Gibson · Oct 25

KOvs Cody Haddon · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody DurdenMetricAoriqileng

3.24

Strikes / min

4.69

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

5.47

50%

Strike defense

48%

3.99

TDs / 15 min

1.20

56%

Takedown defense

58%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking-0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody DurdenAoriqileng

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Durden(10 fights)Aoriqileng(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -32.4|Blue +32.4

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody DurdenTargetAoriqileng

By target zone

35% acc · 65%

Head

38% acc · 68%

88% acc · 12%

Body

78% acc · 22%

93% acc · 23%

Leg

88% acc · 11%

By position

42% acc · 87%

Distance

45% acc · 92%

71% acc · 8%

Clinch

40% acc · 3%

100% acc · 5%

Ground

75% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Durden rounds

even

Aoriqileng rounds

Round 1Cody Durden edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns3

Control3:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cody Durden edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:16

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 3Aoriqileng edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control2:23

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 133

Sig Strikes

65 / 142

43.3%

Sig Str %

46.3%

80 / 158

Total Strikes

78 / 161

5 / 10

TDs

1 / 3

47%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

5:39

Ctrl Time

1:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Aoriqileng	13 / 33	23 / 46	0 / 0
1	Cody Durden	14 / 25	29 / 44	3 / 4
2	Aoriqileng	32 / 74	33 / 75	0 / 0
2	Cody Durden	38 / 73	38 / 73	0 / 3
3	Aoriqileng	20 / 35	22 / 40	1 / 3
3	Cody Durden	8 / 35	13 / 41	2 / 3

Cody Durden

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17

Aoriqileng

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9