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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ovince Saint Preux won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1353

Elo1497

Cody DonovanvsOvince Saint PreuxUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · Saturday, August 17, 2013Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Ovince Saint Preux won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:07

Style matchupCody Donovan: Submission grapplervsOvince Saint Preux: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Ovince Saint Preux wins(56.4%)

Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ovince Saint Preux at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ovince Saint Preux has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Ovince Saint Preux has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Donovan

Red Corner

Ovince Saint Preux

Blue Corner

+350

(22%)

Vegas Odds

-440

(81%)

1353

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'3"

187.96 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody DonovanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nick Penner · Dec 12

KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 13

KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 14

latest

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody DonovanMetricOvince Saint Preux

5.61

Strikes / min

3.03

5.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

45%

Strike defense

47%

1.67

TDs / 15 min

1.09

Takedown defense

67%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody DonovanOvince Saint Preux

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Donovan(4 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -143.8|Blue +143.8

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +134.0|Blue -134.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody DonovanTargetOvince Saint Preux

By target zone

33% acc · 20%

Head

55% acc · 100%

89% acc · 80%

Body

Leg

By position

33% acc · 10%

Distance

0% acc

75% acc · 90%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

86% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Donovan rounds

even

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

Round 1Cody Donovan edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:12

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 15

Sig Strikes

6 / 11

66%

Sig Str %

54%

18 / 23

Total Strikes

8 / 13

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:12

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ovince Saint Preux	6 / 11	8 / 13	0 / 0	0
1	Cody Donovan	10 / 15	18 / 23	0 / 3	0

Cody Donovan

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28