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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cody Brundage won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Elo1506
Tresean Gore editorial illustration

Cody BrundagevsTresean GoreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Saturday, July 9, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Brundage won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:50

Model Prediction: Tresean Gore wins(62.7%)

Actual result: Cody Brundage wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tresean Gore at -155 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cody Brundage is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Tresean Gore has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Cody Brundage has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Tresean Gore has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Tresean Gore (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Cody Brundage
Red Corner
VS
Tresean Gore
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
1490
Elo
1506
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Brundage
oldest →
D
vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25
L
vs Eric McConico · Aug 25
L
KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26
L
vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26
W
KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26
latest
Tresean Gore
oldest →
W
SUBvs Josh Fremd · Oct 22
W
SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Nov 24
L
KOvs Marco Tulio · Apr 25
L
vs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 25
W
SUBvs Azamat Bekoev · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody BrundageMetricTresean Gore
2.26
Strikes / min
3.41
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
7.00
50%
Strike defense
40%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
1.91
68%
Takedown defense
83%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76Δ 2.83 — meaningful gap-3.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1482Strikes1.6 vs 3.0Takedowns2.3 vs 3.0Sub Atts0.90 vs 1.20Form0.2 vs -1.0
Cody BrundageTresean Gore

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Cody Brundage(10 fights)Tresean Gore(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -16.2|Blue +16.2
Recent Form
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody BrundageTargetTresean Gore

By target zone

10
30% acc · 67%
Head
2
13% acc · 25%
5
83% acc · 33%
Body
0
0% acc
0
Leg
6
67% acc · 75%

By position

12
36% acc · 80%
Distance
8
32% acc · 100%
1
50% acc · 7%
Clinch
0
2
50% acc · 13%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Cody Brundage rounds
0
even
0
Tresean Gore rounds
Round 1Cody Brundage edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control1:18
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
15 / 39
Sig Strikes
8 / 25
38%
Sig Str %
32%
23 / 49
Total Strikes
8 / 27
1 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
50%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:18
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tresean Gore8 / 258 / 270 / 00
1Cody Brundage15 / 3923 / 491 / 20

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14

Tresean Gore

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8