Middleweight

3 Rounds

Sedriques Dumas won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1467

Cody BrundagevsSedriques DumasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · Saturday, June 24, 2023Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Sedriques Dumas won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cody Brundage wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Sedriques Dumas wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Brundage at -164 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Cody Brundage has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Sedriques Dumas has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Brundage

Red Corner

Sedriques Dumas

Blue Corner

-164

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1490

Elo

1467

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Brundage

oldest →

vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25

vs Eric McConico · Aug 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26

vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26

KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26

latest

Sedriques DumasL4 streak

oldest →

vs Denis Tiuliulin · Aug 24

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 25

vs Zach Reese · Sep 25

SUBvs Donte Johnson · Nov 25

SUBvs Jackson McVey · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody BrundageMetricSedriques Dumas

2.26

Strikes / min

1.97

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

50%

Strike defense

53%

1.88

TDs / 15 min

1.30

68%

Takedown defense

33%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.67

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody BrundageSedriques Dumas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Brundage(10 fights)Sedriques Dumas(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +22.4|Blue -22.4

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody BrundageTargetSedriques Dumas

By target zone

33% acc · 67%

Head

76% acc · 76%

0% acc

Body

67% acc · 12%

33% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

30% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 18%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

Ground

87% acc · 76%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Brundage rounds

even

Sedriques Dumas rounds

Round 1Sedriques Dumas edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control0:19

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:34Control

Round 2Sedriques Dumas edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:41Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control1:34

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:53Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 10

Sig Strikes

17 / 22

55.3%

Sig Str %

76%

31 / 43

Total Strikes

77 / 96

2 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:53

Ctrl Time

11:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sedriques Dumas	11 / 14	41 / 50	0 / 0	0
1	Cody Brundage	1 / 1	13 / 15	1 / 1	0
2	Sedriques Dumas	4 / 4	14 / 19	0 / 0	0
2	Cody Brundage	0 / 6	4 / 10	0 / 1	0
3	Sedriques Dumas	2 / 4	22 / 27	0 / 0	0
3	Cody Brundage	2 / 3	14 / 18	1 / 2	1

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Sedriques Dumas

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights9