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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nick Maximov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1439

Cody BrundagevsNick MaximovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Saturday, September 25, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nick Maximov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cody Brundage wins(52.1%)

Actual result: Nick Maximov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Brundage at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Brundage has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Nick Maximov (53.5%).
Nick Maximov has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Brundage

Red Corner

Nick Maximov

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1490

Elo

1439

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Brundage

oldest →

vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25

vs Eric McConico · Aug 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26

vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26

KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26

latest

Nick MaximovL2 streak

oldest →

vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 22

SUBvs Andre Petroski · May 22

vs Jacob Malkoun · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody BrundageMetricNick Maximov

2.26

Strikes / min

1.93

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

50%

Strike defense

46%

1.88

TDs / 15 min

4.16

68%

Takedown defense

35%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody BrundageNick Maximov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Brundage(10 fights)Nick Maximov(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +50.8|Blue -50.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody BrundageTargetNick Maximov

By target zone

49% acc · 79%

Head

32% acc · 86%

60% acc · 11%

Body

100% acc · 7%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

50% acc · 7%

By position

35% acc · 46%

Distance

31% acc · 57%

80% acc · 14%

Clinch

60% acc · 21%

100% acc · 39%

Ground

33% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Brundage rounds

even

Nick Maximov rounds

Round 1Nick Maximov edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:21

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:01Control

Round 2Nick Maximov edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:05

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:40Control

Round 3Cody Brundage edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control1:29

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 53

Sig Strikes

14 / 40

44.7%

Sig Str %

31.3%

59 / 90

Total Strikes

84 / 142

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 15

TD %

47%

Sub Att

Rev

1:55

Ctrl Time

9:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nick Maximov	11 / 28	43 / 65	2 / 8	0
1	Cody Brundage	10 / 24	16 / 32	0 / 0	1
2	Nick Maximov	1 / 3	34 / 60	1 / 1	0
2	Cody Brundage	1 / 4	5 / 10	0 / 1	0
3	Nick Maximov	2 / 9	7 / 17	1 / 6	0
3	Cody Brundage	17 / 25	38 / 48	0 / 0	0

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Nick Maximov

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4