Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Eric McConico won · S-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1509

Cody BrundagevsEric McConicoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Saturday, August 9, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Eric McConico won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cody Brundage wins(61.0%)

Actual result: Eric McConico wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Brundage at -230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Brundage is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Eric McConico has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Eric McConico (53.5%).
Eric McConico has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Cody Brundage

Red Corner

Eric McConico

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1490

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Cody Brundage

oldest →

KOvs Julian Marquez · Mar 25

vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26

vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26

KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26

latest

Eric McConico

oldest →

KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Feb 25

KOvs Baisangur Susurkaev · Nov 25

DECvs Rodolfo Vieira · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Cody BrundageMetricEric McConico

2.26

Strikes / min

2.92

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

50%

Strike defense

45%

1.88

TDs / 15 min

0.64

68%

Takedown defense

68%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Cody BrundageEric McConico

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Cody Brundage(10 fights)Eric McConico(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.9|Blue +18.9

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -112.0|Blue +112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Cody BrundageTargetEric McConico

By target zone

46% acc · 84%

Head

31% acc · 69%

60% acc · 10%

Body

54% acc · 27%

67% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

42% acc · 61%

Distance

30% acc · 62%

60% acc · 39%

Clinch

53% acc · 38%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Cody Brundage rounds

even

Eric McConico rounds

Round 1Cody Brundage edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:32

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 2Cody Brundage edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control2:56

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

Round 3Eric McConico edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:44Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 65

Sig Strikes

26 / 72

47.7%

Sig Str %

33%

43 / 78

Total Strikes

54 / 102

3 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

45.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:28

Ctrl Time

3:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Eric McConico	3 / 11	8 / 17	0 / 0
1	Cody Brundage	8 / 18	8 / 19	1 / 4
2	Eric McConico	7 / 23	20 / 37	0 / 0
2	Cody Brundage	11 / 20	19 / 28	2 / 3
3	Eric McConico	16 / 38	26 / 48	0 / 0
3	Cody Brundage	12 / 27	16 / 31	0 / 0

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Eric McConico

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4