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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Mike Jackson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1366

Elo1496

CM PunkvsMike JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Saturday, June 9, 2018Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Mike Jackson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Mike Jackson wins(68.3%)

Actual result: Mike Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Jackson at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Jackson has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Mike Jackson has 88pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

CM Punk

Red Corner

Mike Jackson

Blue Corner

+165

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1366

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

CM Punk

oldest →

SUBvs Mickey Gall · Sep 16

latest

Mike Jackson

oldest →

SUBvs Mickey Gall · Feb 16

vs Dean Barry · Apr 22

KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

CM PunkMetricMike Jackson

1.10

Strikes / min

4.49

4.87

Strikes absorbed / min

3.73

40%

Strike defense

62%

0.87

TDs / 15 min

0.71

Takedown defense

88%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.77Δ 4.53 — meaningful gap+0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

CM PunkMike Jackson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

CM Punk(2 fights)Mike Jackson(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -129.8|Blue +129.8

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -217.0|Blue +217.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

CM PunkTargetMike Jackson

By target zone

16% acc · 53%

Head

57% acc · 84%

54% acc · 37%

Body

83% acc · 16%

40% acc · 11%

Leg

0% acc

By position

15% acc · 53%

Distance

48% acc · 50%

64% acc · 37%

Clinch

88% acc · 22%

67% acc · 11%

Ground

69% acc · 28%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

CM Punk rounds

even

Mike Jackson rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:04

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Round 2Mike Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:06

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:41Control

Round 3Mike Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:41

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:47Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 81

Sig Strikes

64 / 108

23.7%

Sig Str %

58.3%

56 / 129

Total Strikes

129 / 177

1 / 9

TDs

1 / 1

6.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:51

Ctrl Time

7:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mike Jackson	18 / 34	29 / 45	0 / 0
1	CM Punk	11 / 41	16 / 47	1 / 5
2	Mike Jackson	24 / 39	48 / 64	1 / 1
2	CM Punk	5 / 15	29 / 46	0 / 1
3	Mike Jackson	22 / 35	52 / 68	0 / 0
3	CM Punk	3 / 25	11 / 36	0 / 3

CM Punk

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2

Mike Jackson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4