Middleweight

3 Rounds

Clint Hester won · S-DEC R3

Elo1357

Elo1363

Clint HestervsAntonio Braga NetoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Saturday, June 28, 2014San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Clint Hester won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupClint Hester: Well-roundedvsAntonio Braga Neto: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Clint Hester wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Clint Hester wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Clint Hester at +140 American odds

+$140 profit

$240 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Clint Hester enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Clint Hester is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Antonio Braga Neto has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Antonio Braga Neto threatens submissions; Clint Hester has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Clint Hester has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Clint Hester has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Clint Hester

Red Corner

Antonio Braga Neto

Blue Corner

+140

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1357

Elo

1363

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Clint HesterL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dylan Andrews · Dec 13

vs Andy Enz · Feb 14

KOvs Robert Whittaker · Nov 14

KOvs Vitor Miranda · Aug 15

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 16

latest

Antonio Braga Neto

oldest →

SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 13

KOvs Trevin Giles · Dec 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Clint HesterMetricAntonio Braga Neto

3.36

Strikes / min

1.36

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.92

56%

Strike defense

45%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

3.07

60%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.08Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap-2.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Clint HesterAntonio Braga Neto

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Clint Hester(7 fights)Antonio Braga Neto(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.2|Blue +6.2

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -238.0|Blue +238.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Clint HesterTargetAntonio Braga Neto

By target zone

44% acc · 68%

Head

48% acc · 94%

86% acc · 30%

Body

100% acc · 6%

33% acc · 3%

Leg

By position

51% acc · 90%

Distance

25% acc · 31%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

57% acc · 10%

Ground

91% acc · 63%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Clint Hester rounds

even

Antonio Braga Neto rounds

Round 1Antonio Braga Neto edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:11Control

Round 2Clint Hester edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control0:09

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:06Control

Round 3Clint Hester edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control2:17

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 78

Sig Strikes

16 / 32

41%

Sig Str %

45.7%

50 / 88

Total Strikes

73 / 95

1 / 1

TDs

3 / 8

100%

TD %

27.7%

Sub Att

Rev

2:26

Ctrl Time

7:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Antonio Braga Neto	9 / 14	48 / 58	2 / 4
1	Clint Hester	1 / 8	1 / 8	0 / 0
2	Antonio Braga Neto	6 / 15	18 / 28	0 / 1
2	Clint Hester	18 / 37	19 / 38	1 / 1
3	Antonio Braga Neto	1 / 3	7 / 9	1 / 3
3	Clint Hester	21 / 33	30 / 42	0 / 0

Clint Hester

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7

Antonio Braga Neto

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights3