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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Yoel Romero won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1352
Clifford Starks
Elo1382

Clifford StarksvsYoel RomeroUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · Saturday, April 20, 2013San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Yoel Romero won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:32

Model Prediction: Clifford Starks wins(64.7%)

Actual result: Yoel Romero wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Clifford Starks at +165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Yoel Romero is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Clifford Starks has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Yoel Romero has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).
  • Clifford Starks has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Clifford Starks
Red Corner
VS
Yoel Romero
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
1352
Elo
1382
45
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'0"
198.12 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Clifford Starks
oldest →
W
vs Dustin Jacoby · Oct 11
L
SUBvs Ed Herman · Feb 12
latest
Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17
W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18
L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18
L
vs Paulo Costa · Aug 19
L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Clifford StarksMetricYoel Romero
1.94
Strikes / min
3.44
2.49
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
58%
Strike defense
60%
1.94
TDs / 15 min
1.57
60%
Takedown defense
78%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1500Strikes21.0 vs —Takedowns1.5 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-0.1 vs 0.0
Clifford StarksYoel Romero

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Clifford Starks(3 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -29.5|Blue +29.5
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Clifford StarksTargetYoel Romero

By target zone

1
7% acc · 33%
Head
6
100% acc · 50%
1
33% acc · 33%
Body
1
100% acc · 8%
1
100% acc · 33%
Leg
5
100% acc · 42%

By position

3
17% acc · 100%
Distance
8
100% acc · 67%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
4
100% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Clifford Starks rounds
0
even
1
Yoel Romero rounds
Round 1Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
3 / 18
Sig Strikes
12 / 12
16%
Sig Str %
100%
3 / 18
Total Strikes
12 / 12
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Yoel Romero12 / 1212 / 120 / 10
1Clifford Starks3 / 183 / 180 / 00

Clifford Starks

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3

Yoel Romero

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13