Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquim Silva (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Leonardo Santos · Dec 21L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24 Joaquim Silva
oldest →L
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Jun 21W
KOvs Jesse Ronson · Oct 22L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Jun 23L
vs Drakkar Klose · May 24W
vs Claudio Puelles · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricJoaquim Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Clay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Joaquim Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -16.3|Blue +16.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Clay GuidaTargetJoaquim Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Clay Guida edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:29
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Clay Guida edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control3:19
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 3Joaquim Silva edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:35
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:25Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
