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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Bobby Green won · U-DEC R3
Elo1490
Clay Guida
Elo1445

Clay GuidavsBobby GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 20, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bobby Green won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Bobby Green wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Bobby Green wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bobby Green at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Clay Guida
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Green
Blue Corner
+195
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
1490
Elo
1445
44
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22
W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22
L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23
L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23
L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24
latest
Bobby GreenL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21
W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21
W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22
L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22
L
KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Clay GuidaMetricBobby Green
2.63
Strikes / min
—
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
—
61%
Strike defense
—
3.10
TDs / 15 min
—
66%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1523 vs 1505Strikes2.5 vs 5.0Takedowns3.4 vs 1.1Sub Atts0.70 vs 0.30Form-0.1 vs -0.7
Clay GuidaBobby Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Clay Guida(10 fights)Bobby Green(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +45.1|Blue -45.1
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Clay Guida

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27

Bobby Green

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9