Skip to content
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Claudio Silva won · SUB R1
Elo1431
Claudio Silva
Elo1492
Nordine Taleb

Claudio SilvavsNordine TalebUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · Sunday, May 27, 2018Liverpool, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Claudio Silva won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:31

Style matchupClaudio Silva: WrestlervsNordine Taleb: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Nordine Taleb wins(61.7%)

Actual result: Claudio Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nordine Taleb at -400 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Claudio Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Claudio Silva threatens submissions; Nordine Taleb has lost 40% of fights by sub.
  • Nordine Taleb has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Nordine Taleb has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Claudio Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Claudio Silva
Red Corner
VS
Nordine Taleb
Blue Corner
+325
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-400
(80%)
1431
Elo
1492
43
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudio SilvaL3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Danny Roberts · Mar 19
W
SUBvs Cole Williams · Aug 19
L
vs James Krause · Oct 20
L
vs Court McGee · May 21
L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 22
latest
Nordine Taleb
oldest →
W
vs Oliver Enkamp · May 17
W
KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17
L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18
W
vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudio SilvaMetricNordine Taleb
2.48
Strikes / min
3.66
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
46%
Strike defense
66%
2.85
TDs / 15 min
1.94
44%
Takedown defense
73%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap+1.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1536 vs 1569Strikes35.0 vs 37.9Takedowns3.0 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.6
Claudio SilvaNordine Taleb

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Claudio Silva(8 fights)Nordine Taleb(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -60.8|Blue +60.8
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +1134.0|Blue -1134.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudio SilvaTargetNordine Taleb

By target zone

11
41% acc · 61%
Head
1
17% acc · 17%
6
67% acc · 33%
Body
3
75% acc · 50%
1
33% acc · 6%
Leg
2
100% acc · 33%

By position

6
38% acc · 33%
Distance
4
44% acc · 67%
3
75% acc · 17%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 33%
9
47% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Claudio Silva rounds
0
even
0
Nordine Taleb rounds
Round 1Claudio Silva edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control1:48
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
18 / 39
Sig Strikes
6 / 12
46%
Sig Str %
50%
25 / 51
Total Strikes
6 / 12
1 / 3
TDs
1 / 2
33%
TD %
50%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:48
Ctrl Time
0:11

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Nordine Taleb6 / 126 / 121 / 20
1Claudio Silva18 / 3925 / 511 / 31

Claudio Silva

StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8

Nordine Taleb

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12