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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Claudio Silva won · S-DEC R3

Elo1431

Elo1480

Claudio SilvavsLeon EdwardsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · Saturday, November 8, 2014Uberlandia, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Claudio Silva won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupClaudio Silva: WrestlervsLeon Edwards: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Claudio Silva wins(85.7%)

Actual result: Claudio Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudio Silva at +195 American odds

+$195 profit

$295 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Claudio Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Leon Edwards has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Claudio Silva

Red Corner

Leon Edwards

Blue Corner

+195

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-215

(68%)

1431

Elo

1480

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'2"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudio SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Danny Roberts · Mar 19

SUBvs Cole Williams · Aug 19

vs James Krause · Oct 20

vs Court McGee · May 21

vs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 22

latest

Leon EdwardsL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23

vs Colby Covington · Dec 23

vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24

SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25

KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudio SilvaMetricLeon Edwards

2.48

Strikes / min

2.60

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

2.44

46%

Strike defense

52%

2.85

TDs / 15 min

1.25

44%

Takedown defense

63%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.52evenly matched on net striking+0.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Claudio SilvaLeon Edwards

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Claudio Silva(8 fights)Leon Edwards(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -48.8|Blue +48.8

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudio SilvaTargetLeon Edwards

By target zone

31% acc · 53%

Head

48% acc · 76%

82% acc · 26%

Body

89% acc · 24%

64% acc · 21%

Leg

By position

35% acc · 47%

Distance

45% acc · 67%

60% acc · 9%

Clinch

86% acc · 18%

50% acc · 44%

Ground

100% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Claudio Silva rounds

even

Leon Edwards rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control1:51

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:11Control

Round 2Claudio Silva edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:21

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Claudio Silva edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control3:57

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 81

Sig Strikes

33 / 61

45%

Sig Str %

52.7%

98 / 162

Total Strikes

42 / 70

3 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:09

Ctrl Time

1:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Leon Edwards	15 / 27	19 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Claudio Silva	9 / 25	35 / 54	1 / 4	0
2	Leon Edwards	14 / 26	14 / 26	0 / 0	0
2	Claudio Silva	15 / 40	23 / 52	1 / 4	0
3	Leon Edwards	4 / 8	9 / 13	0 / 0	0
3	Claudio Silva	10 / 16	40 / 56	1 / 1	1

Claudio Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Leon Edwards

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights19