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Welterweight

3 Rounds

James Krause won · U-DEC

Elo1431

Elo1493

Claudio SilvavsJames KrauseUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, October 17, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

James Krause won

U-DEC

Style matchupClaudio Silva: WrestlervsJames Krause: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Claudio Silva wins(60.7%)

Actual result: James Krause wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudio Silva at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

James Krause has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
James Krause has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Claudio Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Claudio Silva

Red Corner

James Krause

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1431

Elo

1493

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'2"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudio SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Nordine Taleb · May 18

SUBvs Danny Roberts · Mar 19

SUBvs Cole Williams · Aug 19

vs Court McGee · May 21

vs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 22

latest

James Krause

oldest →

vs Tom Gallicchio · Jul 17

vs Alex White · Jan 18

KOvs Warlley Alves · Aug 18

KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19

vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudio SilvaMetricJames Krause

2.48

Strikes / min

4.79

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

4.11

46%

Strike defense

61%

2.85

TDs / 15 min

0.96

44%

Takedown defense

59%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.52Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+0.68

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Claudio SilvaJames Krause

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Claudio Silva(8 fights)James Krause(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -62.0|Blue +62.0

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +189.0|Blue -189.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudio SilvaTargetJames Krause

By target zone

21% acc · 47%

Head

54% acc · 78%

26% acc · 17%

Body

86% acc · 19%

82% acc · 36%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

30% acc · 100%

Distance

59% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Claudio Silva rounds

even

James Krause rounds

Round 1James Krause edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control0:58

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2James Krause edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3James Krause edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 214

Sig Strikes

94 / 159

29%

Sig Str %

59%

66 / 216

Total Strikes

96 / 162

2 / 12

TDs

0 / 1

9.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:58

Ctrl Time

0:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	James Krause	31 / 52	33 / 55	0 / 0
1	Claudio Silva	17 / 57	19 / 59	2 / 7
2	James Krause	31 / 49	31 / 49	0 / 0
2	Claudio Silva	18 / 65	18 / 65	0 / 2
3	James Krause	32 / 58	32 / 58	0 / 1
3	Claudio Silva	29 / 92	29 / 92	0 / 3

Claudio Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

James Krause

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13