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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Claudio Silva won · SUB R1

Elo1431

Elo1391

Claudio SilvavsCole WilliamsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · Saturday, August 3, 2019Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Claudio Silva won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:35

Model Prediction: Claudio Silva wins(89.9%)

Actual result: Claudio Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudio Silva at -550 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Claudio Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Claudio Silva threatens submissions; Cole Williams has lost 100% of fights by sub.
Claudio Silva has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Claudio Silva has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Claudio Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Claudio Silva

Red Corner

Cole Williams

Blue Corner

-550

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+425

(19%)

1431

Elo

1391

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudio SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Nordine Taleb · May 18

SUBvs Danny Roberts · Mar 19

vs James Krause · Oct 20

vs Court McGee · May 21

vs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 22

latest

Cole Williams

oldest →

SUBvs Jason Witt · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudio SilvaMetricCole Williams

2.48

Strikes / min

0.31

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

5.34

46%

Strike defense

23%

2.85

TDs / 15 min

0.00

44%

Takedown defense

25%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.52Δ 4.51 — meaningful gap-5.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Claudio SilvaCole Williams

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Claudio Silva(8 fights)Cole Williams(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +40.2|Blue -40.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -48.3|Blue +48.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudio SilvaTargetCole Williams

By target zone

86% acc · 78%

Head

40% acc · 100%

83% acc · 16%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 6%

Leg

By position

67% acc · 25%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

96% acc · 72%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Claudio Silva rounds

even

Cole Williams rounds

Round 1Claudio Silva edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns1

Control1:24

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 37

Sig Strikes

2 / 6

86%

Sig Str %

33%

32 / 38

Total Strikes

2 / 6

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:24

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cole Williams	2 / 6	2 / 6	0 / 0	0
1	Claudio Silva	32 / 37	32 / 38	1 / 1	1

Claudio Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Cole Williams

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2