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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Abdul Razak Alhassan won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1491
Claudio Ribeiro
Elo1491
Abdul Razak Alhassan

Claudio RibeirovsAbdul Razak AlhassanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Saturday, January 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Abdul Razak Alhassan won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:28

Model Prediction: Claudio Ribeiro wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Abdul Razak Alhassan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudio Ribeiro at -105 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Abdul Razak Alhassan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Abdul Razak Alhassan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Claudio Ribeiro has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Abdul Razak Alhassan has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Claudio Ribeiro has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Claudio Ribeiro has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Claudio Ribeiro
Red Corner
VS
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
1491
Elo
1491
34
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudio RibeiroL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Joseph Holmes · May 23
L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jul 23
L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 24
latest
Abdul Razak AlhassanL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Jacob Malkoun · Apr 21
W
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 21
L
vs Joaquin Buckley · Feb 22
L
SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 23
L
KOvs Cesar Almeida · Jan 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudio RibeiroMetricAbdul Razak Alhassan
3.59
Strikes / min
3.64
4.90
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
30%
Strike defense
54%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.84
66%
Takedown defense
51%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31evenly matched on net striking-0.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1492Strikes3.6 vs 3.6Takedowns0.6 vs 0.9Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.20Form0.0 vs -0.5
Claudio RibeiroAbdul Razak Alhassan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Claudio Ribeiro(4 fights)Abdul Razak Alhassan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +49.1|Blue -49.1
Grappler Score
Red +49.9|Blue -49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudio RibeiroTargetAbdul Razak Alhassan

By target zone

6
33% acc · 32%
Head
13
54% acc · 76%
3
100% acc · 16%
Body
4
100% acc · 24%
10
100% acc · 53%
Leg
0

By position

17
59% acc · 89%
Distance
9
45% acc · 53%
2
100% acc · 11%
Clinch
8
100% acc · 47%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Claudio Ribeiro rounds
1
even
1
Abdul Razak Alhassan rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:16
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:08Control
Round 2Abdul Razak Alhassan edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
19 / 31
Sig Strikes
17 / 28
58%
Sig Str %
61%
42 / 54
Total Strikes
30 / 41
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 2
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:16
Ctrl Time
3:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Abdul Razak Alhassan9 / 1622 / 290 / 20
1Claudio Ribeiro14 / 2137 / 440 / 00
2Abdul Razak Alhassan8 / 128 / 120 / 00
2Claudio Ribeiro5 / 105 / 100 / 00

Claudio Ribeiro

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4

Abdul Razak Alhassan

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13