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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Yan Xiaonan won · U-DEC

Elo1493

Elo1500

Claudia GadelhavsYan XiaonanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · Saturday, November 7, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Yan Xiaonan won

U-DEC

Style matchupClaudia Gadelha: WrestlervsYan Xiaonan: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Yan Xiaonan wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Yan Xiaonan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yan Xiaonan at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Claudia Gadelha

Red Corner

Yan Xiaonan

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1493

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'5"

160.02 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudia Gadelha

oldest →

SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 17

vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 17

vs Carla Esparza · Jun 18

vs Nina Ansaroff · Dec 18

vs Angela Hill · May 20

latest

Yan Xiaonan

oldest →

vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 22

KOvs Jessica Andrade · May 23

vs Zhang Weili · Apr 24

vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 24

vs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudia GadelhaMetricYan Xiaonan

3.31

Strikes / min

4.69

4.57

Strikes absorbed / min

3.23

57%

Strike defense

60%

3.03

TDs / 15 min

0.84

58%

Takedown defense

64%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.26Δ 2.72 — meaningful gap+1.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Claudia GadelhaYan Xiaonan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Claudia Gadelha(10 fights)Yan Xiaonan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.8|Blue +6.8

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudia GadelhaTargetYan Xiaonan

By target zone

35% acc · 81%

Head

38% acc · 73%

55% acc · 17%

Body

71% acc · 20%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

83% acc · 7%

By position

34% acc · 83%

Distance

39% acc · 78%

33% acc · 3%

Clinch

78% acc · 19%

100% acc · 14%

Ground

67% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Claudia Gadelha rounds

even

Yan Xiaonan rounds

Round 1Claudia Gadelha edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control4:06

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Yan Xiaonan edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:07

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Yan Xiaonan edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control2:33

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 96

Sig Strikes

74 / 170

36.7%

Sig Str %

45.3%

84 / 149

Total Strikes

133 / 234

2 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

13.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:46

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yan Xiaonan	19 / 36	51 / 70	0 / 0
1	Claudia Gadelha	10 / 26	53 / 72	2 / 5
2	Yan Xiaonan	26 / 78	27 / 80	0 / 0
2	Claudia Gadelha	17 / 43	18 / 44	0 / 1
3	Yan Xiaonan	29 / 56	55 / 84	0 / 0
3	Claudia Gadelha	9 / 27	13 / 33	0 / 4

Claudia Gadelha

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights11

Yan Xiaonan

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights13