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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Claudia Gadelha won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Claudia Gadelha
Elo1490

Claudia GadelhavsTina LahdemakiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · Wednesday, July 16, 2014Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Claudia Gadelha won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Claudia Gadelha wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Claudia Gadelha wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Claudia Gadelha at -560 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Claudia Gadelha has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Claudia Gadelha
Red Corner
VS
Tina Lahdemaki
Blue Corner
-560
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+475
(17%)
1493
Elo
1490
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'2"
160.02 cm
Reach
157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Claudia Gadelha
oldest →
L
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 17
W
vs Carla Esparza · Jun 18
L
vs Nina Ansaroff · Dec 18
W
vs Angela Hill · May 20
L
vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 20
latest
Tina LahdemakiNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Claudia GadelhaMetricTina Lahdemaki
3.31
Strikes / min
1.93
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
57%
Strike defense
57%
3.03
TDs / 15 min
0.00
58%
Takedown defense
16%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.26Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap-2.74
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Claudia Gadelha(10 fights)Tina Lahdemaki(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.5|Blue -2.5
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Claudia GadelhaTargetTina Lahdemaki

By target zone

49
37% acc · 70%
Head
21
17% acc · 72%
13
54% acc · 19%
Body
5
42% acc · 17%
8
100% acc · 11%
Leg
3
50% acc · 10%

By position

41
34% acc · 59%
Distance
26
19% acc · 90%
4
50% acc · 6%
Clinch
3
43% acc · 10%
25
69% acc · 36%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Claudia Gadelha rounds
0
even
0
Tina Lahdemaki rounds
Round 1Claudia Gadelha edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns2
Control3:40
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Claudia Gadelha edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control1:37
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Claudia Gadelha edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns2
Control1:59
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
70 / 164
Sig Strikes
29 / 141
42%
Sig Str %
18.7%
132 / 228
Total Strikes
49 / 170
5 / 6
TDs
0 / 0
88.7%
TD %
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
7:16
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tina Lahdemaki3 / 1920 / 410 / 00
1Claudia Gadelha30 / 6463 / 982 / 22
2Tina Lahdemaki17 / 6418 / 670 / 00
2Claudia Gadelha15 / 5123 / 601 / 10
3Tina Lahdemaki9 / 5811 / 620 / 00
3Claudia Gadelha25 / 4946 / 702 / 30

Claudia Gadelha

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights11

Tina Lahdemaki

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach
Fights1